The presence of the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group in the US Central Command area of responsibility, close to Iranian waters, has heightened concerns that a larger confrontation is developing.
The deployment comes during Iran’s most broad and deadly crackdown on rallies in recent memory, highlighting how near Washington and Tehran may now be to a direct confrontation, closer than at any moment in recent years.
Iranian officials are caught between a protest movement that is increasingly seeking the regime’s ouster and a US president whose goals have been purposefully vague, stoking worry not only in Tehran but throughout an already volatile region. Iran’s response to a possible US military strike may not follow the familiar, carefully calibrated pattern seen in previous confrontations with Washington.
President Donald Trump’s recent threats, delivered in the context of Iran’s ruthless suppression of domestic protest, come at a time of unprecedented internal strain for the Islamic Republic. As a result, any US attack today has a much larger chance of rapidly escalating, both regionally and within Iran.
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